skip to main content


Search for: All records

Creators/Authors contains: "Robinson, Walter A."

Note: When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher. Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).
What is a DOI Number?

Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.

  1. Abstract

    Extreme heat is investigated in a series of high‐resolution time‐slice global simulations comparing the current and late‐21st century climates. An increase in climate‐relative extreme heat is found in the region surrounding the Black Sea. Similarities between the synoptic‐scale flows in current and future heat events combined with a decrease in future summer precipitation suggests that the increased future severity stems from strengthened land‐atmosphere feedbacks driven primarily by the changes in precipitation. The resulting intensification of heat events beyond the mean warming driven by climate change could generate significant future heat hazards in vulnerable regions. Given the continental cool bias in the present‐day simulations, the resulting estimates of future extreme heat are likely to be conservative.

     
    more » « less
  2. Abstract

    The largest sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) occur over the Atlantic subpolar gyre, yet it is the tropical Atlantic from where the global impacts of AMV originate. Processes that communicate SST change from the subpolar Atlantic gyre to the tropical North Atlantic thus comprise a crucial mechanism of AMV. Here we use idealized model experiments to show that such communication is accomplished by an “atmospheric bridge.” Our results demonstrate an unexpected asymmetry: the atmosphere is effective in communicating cold subpolar SSTs to the north tropical Atlantic, via an immediate extratropical atmospheric circulation change that invokes slower wind‐driven evaporative cooling along the Eastern Atlantic Basin and into the tropics. Warm subpolar SST anomalies do not elicit a robust tropical Atlantic response. Our results highlight a key dynamical feature of AMV for which warm and cold phases are not opposites.

     
    more » « less